Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.960980 5.373470 5.830166 6.378693 7.027129 7.779236 8.733083
2025-01-26 4.543662 5.116691 5.799920 6.695432 7.873110 9.426805 11.748691
2025-02-02 4.378643 5.111652 6.049941 7.395742 9.392080 12.493695 18.419518
2025-02-09 4.105484 4.924965 6.033643 7.747975 10.586579 15.814585 29.553710
2025-02-16 3.842839 4.711242 5.940656 7.969782 11.696576 19.945026 54.518121
2025-02-23 3.587352 4.472007 5.769753 8.029523 12.578995 24.726912 134.738653
2025-03-02 3.289107 4.137506 5.406669 7.685101 12.533010 27.240848 425.204148
2025-03-09 3.089812 3.927405 5.209190 7.595437 13.036150 32.789862 NaN
2025-03-16 2.863389 3.656659 4.883197 7.205383 12.679476 34.566460 NaN
2025-03-23 2.749663 3.546721 4.806847 7.282867 13.584384 46.060616 NaN
2025-03-30 2.624145 3.407939 4.666199 7.204109 14.040980 58.290192 NaN
2025-04-06 2.485563 3.238989 4.457857 6.949469 13.866651 65.343914 NaN
2025-04-13 2.327877 3.042008 4.204670 6.608023 13.453052 71.600431 NaN
2025-04-20 2.283355 3.022317 4.261280 6.961335 15.707170 225.102164 NaN
2025-04-27 2.286034 3.079319 4.464927 7.727751 20.834791 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.239468 3.050623 4.505809 8.119757 25.362913 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.181115 2.997074 4.491920 8.369033 30.075504 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.111965 2.919629 4.421229 8.439909 34.051434 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 2.013086 2.784092 4.218994 8.067606 32.831435 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.944298 2.697908 4.111926 7.972424 34.890709 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.855324 2.571597 3.911904 7.549443 32.224530 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.811921 2.524017 3.873029 7.634933 36.718195 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.759176 2.456873 3.787093 7.550107 38.905824 NaN NaN